The Fed/CAPE Connection

The Fed/CAPE Connection

  This week’s chart highlights a key connection between the Fed Funds Rate and stock market valuations, as measured by the CAPE ratio. But first, some definitions. The Fed Funds Rate is controlled by the Federal Reserve and influences all other interest rates....
Leverage Limits

Leverage Limits

  This week’s indicator is all about leverage in the stock market, or what is commonly referred to as margin debt. What is margin debt? In simple terms, it’s a measure of how much money investors are borrowing to buy stocks. When they do this, it’s called buying...
Take a Chance on Me

Take a Chance on Me

The market’s been tapping into its inner ABBA lately, suggesting now might be the time to “take a chance” on stocks again. In this week’s commentary, we dive into the key Risk-On/Risk-Off Diffusion Index and explore why investors are starting to move to a more upbeat market tune.