Higher for Longer
We got some encouraging economic news this week. In the third quarter, real GDP grew at a 4.3% annualized pace, the fastest growth in two years and well above expectations. That strength is welcome, but it also helps explain something else we’ve been living...
Reading the Yield Curve
For this week’s indicator, we’re looking at a simple but powerful signal from the bond market called the yield curve. Don’t let the name scare you off. At its core, this indicator just compares two interest rates: the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury bond and...
The Return of Real
There is plenty of talk about where the economy is currently heading. David Nelson names what he believes to be the most important indicator for investors to keep an eye on right now.
Rooted in Earnings
OVERVIEW Markets were mixed but generally quiet last week, with modest gains in several major indexes. Large-cap stocks edged higher, with the S&P 500 up 0.10% and the NASDAQ gaining 0.48%. The S&P 100 also rose 0.17%, suggesting some stabilization in...
Grain of Salt
The big news in the finance world this week was the release of the November inflation numbers. On the surface, it was a good report. The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) posted a 2.7% y/y gain, down from 3% in September. And if we back out food and energy...
Real Rates and Risk Appetite
A lot of the time, when talking about interest rates, we talk in nominal terms. Treasury yields, mortgage rates, whatever—the stated, headline rate is the nominal rate. These matter, because they are what borrowers actually pay and lenders actually receive....
Financial Focus – December 17th, 2025
On this week’s Financial Focus, Nate and Andy walk through several important year-end tax reminders, including IRS e-filing deadlines, new deduction rules, and what to expect as tax season approaches. They also explain why rushing to file early can create more headaches than it solves.
Homeward Bound
Many investors have questions concerning how much they should own internationally versus keeping their money invested in U.S. stocks. David Nelson shares data showing how the U.S. markets typically outperform international markets by a significant margin.
Took vs. Baggins
OVERVIEW Markets were mixed last week. Large-cap growth struggled, pulling the S&P 500 down 0.63% and the NASDAQ lower by 1.62%. The S&P 100 also declined 1.00%, highlighting some pressure in the biggest names. In contrast, more cyclical and...
Testing the Fed
The Fed went ahead and cut rates again this week. It was mostly expected. The bigger question is what comes next. Looking into next year, it is not clear how many additional cuts are actually on the table. Inflation remains above the Fed’s comfort zone, and...
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