Housing Drawdown

Housing Drawdown

  Last year, the Federal Reserve geared up in its battle against inflation by swiftly increasing interest rates. They threw a powerful right hook at inflation, delivered in the form of 8% mortgage rates. The impact? A direct hit on the housing market, leaving it...
Marching to New Highs

Marching to New Highs

  This week’s chart is called a percentage drawdown or percentage off high chart. It’s a visual representation of the decline in the value of the stock market from its peak to its lowest point, expressed as a percentage. For example, the last time the S&P 500...
High Quality

High Quality

  In the past year, the U.S. stock market has generally been trending upward. However, what’s interesting is that most of the gains have come from a particular kind of factor: quality. The Quality Factor Index, shown as the green line on the chart above,...
The Sahm Rule

The Sahm Rule

  The latest jobs report brought some interesting insights into our economy. In October, the unemployment rate rose to 3.9%. While still low by historical standards, it is a notable increase from the 3.4% low in April. A jump this size often raises fears that a...
When Cash Is King

When Cash Is King

  In the long run, stocks beat cash. That’s a well-established fact. But the problem with the long run is that it’s so, well… long. Over shorter periods of time, stocks can be quite volatile, like a roller coaster, and in those instances, cash can sometimes come...
No Peaks, No Problem

No Peaks, No Problem

  It’s been a while since the S&P 500 stock index made a record high. As our featured chart this week shows, there have been zero record highs this year; in fact, it’s been 21 months since the stock market last reached a record high, the longest streak in a...