Regime Roulette

Regime Roulette

  This week’s indicator is all about regimes. Markets, much like history, operate in distinct regimes, and for the stock market, the two biggest drivers of these cycles are economic growth and inflation. Together, they set the stage for the economic scenario the...
Speedometer

Speedometer

  This week, we’re diving into a powerful chart: the MSCI World Index vs. the 21-Day Momentum of its 200-Day Moving Average. Don’t let the technical name intimidate you—this tool simply helps us stay in sync with the market’s long-term momentum. The chart...
Flooded

Flooded

  In this week’s indicator, we’re taking a closer look at equity ETF flows—and the story they’re telling is hard to ignore. The chart above tracks the 50-day average of daily inflows into U.S. stock funds. This metric smooths out day-to-day noise and gives us a...
Comeback Tour

Comeback Tour

  Inflation took center stage again this week as the Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the third time—exactly as expected. The real surprise, however, came with their announcement that they foresee fewer rate cuts next year than they predicted three months...
Two Tumbles and a Jump

Two Tumbles and a Jump

  The Federal Reserve has a way of setting the tone for markets. Whether it’s tightening the screws with rate hikes or loosening the reins with cuts, its moves send ripples across Wall Street. So, for this week’s indicator, I want to highlight a metric that taps...
Bull Market Pillar

Bull Market Pillar

  This week’s indicator is the cornerstone of the current bull market in stocks.  But first, I’ll explain what it does. In essence, the indicator monitors shifts in interest rates to signal stock market trends.  Specifically, it focuses on changes in the yield of...