by NelsonCorp Wealth Management | Feb 20, 2025 | Indicator Insights
One of the biggest drivers of economic growth is government spending. But here’s the funny thing— as this week’s featured indicator reveals, that spending doesn’t always have the same effect on the stock market. The blue line at the top of the chart tracks the...
by NelsonCorp Wealth Management | Feb 13, 2025 | Indicator Insights
The S&P 500 has been on a relentless climb, and today, it’s sitting far above its long-term historical trend. The market has a way of moving in cycles—sometimes running hot, sometimes cooling off—but over the long run, it tends to follow a fundamental...
by NelsonCorp Wealth Management | Feb 6, 2025 | Indicator Insights
Something’s off. At first glance, the S&P 500 seems to be doing OK, but something doesn’t add up. One of our key indicators—the NDR Combination High-Low Logic Index—is running hot. And when this thing gets too high, history says it’s a warning. Let’s talk...
by NelsonCorp Wealth Management | Jan 30, 2025 | Indicator Insights
Some say the economy is on shaky ground. They point to high interest rates. They talk about inflation. They worry about a slowdown. But if you look at household wealth, you’d see a different story. This week’s indicator, Household Real Estate vs. Household...
by NelsonCorp Wealth Management | Jan 23, 2025 | Indicator Insights
This week’s indicator focuses on the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Fair Value Model, a tool designed to gauge whether 10-year Treasury yields are too high, too low, or just right. With interest rates playing such a pivotal role in the markets, knowing when Treasuries...
by NelsonCorp Wealth Management | Jan 16, 2025 | Indicator Insights
The stock market needs money to thrive. OK, maybe that’s an obvious statement. But what I mean is that the economy’s money supply needs to grow at a rate consistent with stock prices. When it doesn’t, returns often suffer. This week’s indicator explains why. At...