What’s Fair is Fair

What’s Fair is Fair

  This week’s indicator focuses on the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Fair Value Model, a tool designed to gauge whether 10-year Treasury yields are too high, too low, or just right. With interest rates playing such a pivotal role in the markets, knowing when Treasuries...
Regime Roulette

Regime Roulette

  This week’s indicator is all about regimes. Markets, much like history, operate in distinct regimes, and for the stock market, the two biggest drivers of these cycles are economic growth and inflation. Together, they set the stage for the economic scenario the...
Speedometer

Speedometer

  This week, we’re diving into a powerful chart: the MSCI World Index vs. the 21-Day Momentum of its 200-Day Moving Average. Don’t let the technical name intimidate you—this tool simply helps us stay in sync with the market’s long-term momentum. The chart...
Flooded

Flooded

  In this week’s indicator, we’re taking a closer look at equity ETF flows—and the story they’re telling is hard to ignore. The chart above tracks the 50-day average of daily inflows into U.S. stock funds. This metric smooths out day-to-day noise and gives us a...
Comeback Tour

Comeback Tour

  Inflation took center stage again this week as the Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the third time—exactly as expected. The real surprise, however, came with their announcement that they foresee fewer rate cuts next year than they predicted three months...