Drawdown Dynamics

Drawdown Dynamics

Stocks and bonds came under pressure earlier this year—but this week’s indicator suggests the worst of the pain might be behind us. A new bullish signal just triggered, and history shows it often shows up right as markets begin to recover.

Thrust!

Thrust!

  Houston, we have thrust! That’s right, this week’s indicator is all about thrust. But I’m not talking about a rocket ship—I’m talking about the stock market. Specifically, I’m referring to market breadth and how it can be used to generate an upside “thrust”...
The Terrible Twos

The Terrible Twos

  So, the Fed came out this week and reiterated that they’re keeping rates where they are for now. You know, watching the data, that kind of thing. But if you look at what the bond market’s doing, it’s saying something different—and that’s the topic of this...
A Shot of Strength

A Shot of Strength

  After a rocky few months to start the year, we finally got some good news a few weeks ago: a global breadth thrust. What’s that? Simply put, it’s when a big chunk of global stocks all start moving higher at the same time—and in a relatively short period. In the...
The Earnings Engine

The Earnings Engine

  Over the past few weeks, we’ve spent some time diving into the state of corporate earnings—how they’re holding up, what expectations look like, and whether they’re realistic. This week, we’re taking it a step further by linking those earnings to the broader...
Estimate Erosion

Estimate Erosion

  Last week, we looked at how the market has remained fairly upbeat about earnings. This week’s discussion builds on that, digging into just how broad that optimism really is—or isn’t. This week’s indicator tracks the percentage of S&P 500 market...