Blog

Replenished Liquidity

Replenished Liquidity

  Liquidity, or easily accessible money, is an important driver of stock market returns. A simple metric commonly used to measure liquidity is the M2 money supply, a broad measure of the money in the economy available for spending and investment. When it’s...

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Economic Bulls on Parade

Economic Bulls on Parade

OVERVIEW   The U.S. stock market had a strong outing last week. The S&P 500 surged 2.35%, the Dow gained 2.02%, and the Nasdaq increased 2.19%. Value stocks led the way, gaining 2.93%, but growth stocks weren’t too far behind, up 2.26% for the week. Small-cap...

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Equal Competition

Equal Competition

  This week’s chart features the yields of the three primary financial assets investors focus on: cash, bonds, and stocks. The green line represents the forward earnings yield for the S&P 500 (stocks), the gold line represents the yield on investment-grade...

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Prices vs. Money

Prices vs. Money

  This week’s featured indicator looks at the relative valuation of the stock market based on the money supply. The idea is that if we compare stock prices to some economic gauge—like the money supply—we can determine whether prices are competitively valued or...

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Divergence

Divergence

The markets continue to climb higher this year. David Nelson lets us know if there are any concerns that stand out to him and how they may impact investors.

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Trouble Across the Pond

Trouble Across the Pond

  We’ve discussed how inflation seems to be moving in the right direction here in the U.S. But across the pond, things look more worrisome. The U.K. has the worst inflation problem of any major developed county, and last month, it got worse. As our featured chart...

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Risk On!

Risk On!

  This week’s indicator is called the Risk-On/Risk-Off Indicator, or RO/RO indicator for short. It’s designed to gauge the relative risk tolerance in the investments landscape. In other words, it is a gauge of economic confidence. The Risk-On Index, shown in the...

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