Against the Grain

Against the Grain

  When we model intermediate-term stock market risk, we break up the model into three major categories: Price Movements, Investor Sentiment, and the Economic Environment. Each of these three major categories is comprised of six sub-composites each (for a total of...
Going to Work

Going to Work

  The labor market continues to improve in America. Our chart above shows that initial weekly jobless claims, a proxy for layoffs, fell to just 199,000 recently. That’s the lowest it’s been since the pandemic started, and even more surprisingly, it’s the lowest...