Evidence From the Bull Pen
OVERVIEW Markets opened the new year on a constructive note, with broad-based gains across most major asset classes. U.S. equities moved higher, led by cyclical and value-oriented areas. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 2.32% on the week, while the S&P...
Productivity Pop
Sometimes we get an economic report that really jumps off the page. That was the case with this week’s productivity data. According to the BLS, labor productivity surged at a 4.9% annualized pace in the third quarter, the fastest increase in two years....
The Rally Fills Out
Coming into the new year, we wanted to see markets answer one simple question: Are stocks moving together, or is the rally being carried by just a handful of names? That distinction matters more than most investors realize. Broad participation is often the...
Financial Focus – January 7th, 2026
David Nelson joins Financial Focus to discuss the growing media focus on the 2026 outlook and what investors should realistically expect after several strong market years. He also shares why diversification, risk management, and learning from past market cycles matter more than ever right now.
Money on the Sidelines?
In the last couple years, money market funds have been very popular. David Nelson shares the numbers behind this trend and explains why more investors are using this tool for short-term goals.
Constructive, with Conditions
OVERVIEW Markets pulled back modestly during the first week of the new year, with U.S. equities generally lower across the board. Large-cap stocks led the decline, as the S&P 500 fell 1.03% and the NASDAQ dropped 1.52%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average...
Signals From the Factory Floor
Heading into the new year, one question we get a lot is: How is the economy doing? Now, it can be hard to answer a question like that, because what one means by “the economy” can be different for different people. Are we talking about economic growth?...
The 2026 Market Cycle
Today officially marks the first day of the new year, so let’s take a look at the NDR Cycle Composite for 2026 to see what the new year has in store for us. Now, this is one of the tools we use to help set expectations, not to make predictions. It’s based...
Mom-and-Pop Stress Test
Unfortunately, the data continues to show struggles for small businesses. John Nelson shares the numbers on Subchapter 5 bankruptcy filings and how they could become a warning for the broader economy.
Not Overly Excited
OVERVIEW Markets finished the holiday-shortened week on a constructive note, with broad-based gains across most major asset classes. U.S. equities moved higher, led by large-cap stocks. The S&P 500 rose 1.40% on the week, while the NASDAQ added 1.22%. The...
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