Going Up
This week’s chart highlights the surge in the term premium on U.S. Treasuries—the extra return investors demand for holding long-term bonds instead of short-term ones. Think of it like asking for a bigger reward to lock your money away for longer because the...
Flooded
In this week’s indicator, we’re taking a closer look at equity ETF flows—and the story they’re telling is hard to ignore. The chart above tracks the 50-day average of daily inflows into U.S. stock funds. This metric smooths out day-to-day noise and gives us a...
Breadth Breakdown
As 2024 is coming to an end, many investors are keeping an eye on the stock market as changes can occur rapidly. David Nelson joins us to share the importance of noting advancers versus decliners and how a balanced market is best for all.
Soaring Sentiment—but Who’s Pulling the Sled?
Investor sentiment has been as cheerful as holiday lights this year, fueling consistent market gains. But with fewer stocks pulling the market’s weight, the rally feels more like Santa’s sleigh running low on reindeer—still moving, but for how long?
Neutral Shift
The Federal Reserve shook up financial markets this week, with stocks sliding after yet another rate cut. But it wasn’t the cut itself that rattled investors—it was the Fed’s revised projection for the “neutral rate,” shown in green on the chart. This neutral...
Comeback Tour
Inflation took center stage again this week as the Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the third time—exactly as expected. The real surprise, however, came with their announcement that they foresee fewer rate cuts next year than they predicted three months...
Financial Focus – December 18th, 2024
This week’s Financial Focus dives into year-end tax preparation tips, emphasizing the importance of gathering all necessary documents and avoiding filing prematurely. Nate Kreinbrink and Andy Fergurson also discuss the benefits of electronic filing, life changes to inform your preparer about, and the holiday spirit with caroling and charity initiatives.
Stabilized Spending
Credit card debt has been climbing in recent years. John Nelson shows us how credit card delinquency rates are looking and explains if the current debt levels are a red flag for the U.S. economy.
Downward Dow
Has the market lost its balance? Recent selling streaks and weakening breadth have investors wondering if this is just a market stretch or a slip out of alignment. Check out this week’s commentary where we delve into the issues.
U.S. Leadership Persists
The United States is leading the pack in terms of global economic growth. It might surprise some, but the U.S. economy has remained resilient, growing faster than other countries—and the stock market has kept pace. To illustrate, our chart this week compares...
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