The Discount Rate
Interest rates are important for the stock market. In a technical sense, they’re what we call the “discount rate.” This is the rate at which the future cash flows generated by the companies in the stock market get discounted back to the present. Because of how...
Long-Term Cycles
When investors evaluate long-term stock market returns, it is helpful to look through the lens of rolling 20-year periods. Nate Kreinbrink shares the history of S&P 500’s returns and where the index stands now.
Deep Bench
OVERVIEW Markets pulled back modestly during the week, with mixed results across major asset classes. Large-cap U.S. equities were under mild pressure, as the S&P 500 declined 0.38% and the NASDAQ fell 0.66%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.29%,...
Confident Credit
How do we know when investors are gearing up to embrace risk? We look at credit spreads, the featured metric in this week’s chart shown above. What are credit spreads? Simply put, they are the extra interest investors earn for lending money to companies instead...
Peak Momentum
Momentum can be an interesting thing to measure in markets. Due to the nature of how momentum is calculated (a rate of change), it often tends to fade before prices actually peak. Think of it like a homemade rocket. The speed at which it’s rising slows down...
Financial Focus – January 14th, 2026
Tax season is officially underway, and there are a few important shifts to keep in mind this year. Nate Kreinbrink and Andy Fergurson break down what documents to look for, common mistakes to avoid, and how to stay ahead of deadlines.
Parking Spot, Not The Destination
Last week we discussed money market funds and why cash tools have been so popular lately. David Nelson elaborates more on real cash yields and explains why cash tools provide short-term stability but are not ideal for long-term investing.
Evidence From the Bull Pen
OVERVIEW Markets opened the new year on a constructive note, with broad-based gains across most major asset classes. U.S. equities moved higher, led by cyclical and value-oriented areas. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 2.32% on the week, while the S&P...
Productivity Pop
Sometimes we get an economic report that really jumps off the page. That was the case with this week’s productivity data. According to the BLS, labor productivity surged at a 4.9% annualized pace in the third quarter, the fastest increase in two years....
The Rally Fills Out
Coming into the new year, we wanted to see markets answer one simple question: Are stocks moving together, or is the rally being carried by just a handful of names? That distinction matters more than most investors realize. Broad participation is often the...
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