Blog

Losing

Losing

It’s time for 4 Your Money! John Nelson joins Local 4 News to talk about how usually increased interest rates are welcome news for banks, but not recently, and how the market is currently reacting.

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Down but Not Out

Down but Not Out

OVERVIEW   The U.S. stock market closed higher after a roller coaster type of week. The S&P 500 gained 1.39%, the Dow increased 1.18%, and the Nasdaq popped 1.66%. Growth stocks—up 1.59%—outpaced value stocks, which rose...

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Lender of Last Resort

Lender of Last Resort

  There’s been a lot of stress in the banking system lately. So much so that recent data published by the Fed showed that a record $152.9 billion was borrowed from the Fed’s discount window last week, surpassing the $111 billion reached during the 2008 financial...

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Nasdaq vs. NYSE Volume

Nasdaq vs. NYSE Volume

  This week’s indicator uses the ratio of total Nasdaq volume to total NYSE volume to gauge sentiment in the stock market. The key takeaway is that the ratio is falling, a sign of increasing pessimism—which, from a contrarian perspective, could be a bullish...

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The Two I’s Turn Positive

The Two I’s Turn Positive

OVERVIEW   The major U.S. stock indices ended the week on a mixed note last week. While the S&P 500 gained 1.43% and the Nasdaq surged 4.41%, the Dow lost about 0.15%. Growth stocks led the way, gaining about 3.8% versus a 1.77% decline for value stocks. And...

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One and Done?

One and Done?

  I’ve got a couple of charts this week showing just how quickly expectations can change in financial markets. The first chart, shown above, compares the market’s expectations for the terminal level of the federal funds rate (green line) vs. the current target...

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Whichever Way the Funds Flows

Whichever Way the Funds Flows

  For this week’s indicator, we’re going to look at fund flows and how they affect stock market returns. What is a fund flow? It’s simply the amount of cash flowing into or out of a financial asset. It doesn’t measure the performance of the asset but rather the...

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Broken Banks, but Bye-Bye Bear?

Broken Banks, but Bye-Bye Bear?

OVERVIEW   U.S. stocks tumbled last week as bank troubles and a hawkish Fed threw cold water on risk assets. The S&P 500 dropped 4.55%, the Dow lost 4.44%, and the Nasdaq declined 4.71%. Foreign stocks held up better, with developed country stocks decreasing...

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Persistent

Persistent

  This week’s featured chart shows the year-over-year change in the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (excluding food and energy). This is a popular measure of core inflation in the economy that the Federal Reserve follows closely. The problem,...

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