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Yearning for Earnings

Yearning for Earnings

  When we think about what drives stock market returns, earnings come to mind. This makes sense. The stock market is comprised of businesses, and the goal of those businesses is to make money—or earnings. On a stock exchange, buyers and sellers come together to...

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Recession Forecast

Recession Forecast

It’s time for 4 Your Money! David Nelson joins Local 4 News to discuss some of the factors that are pushing back the recession forecast.

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Leaky Liquidity

Leaky Liquidity

OVERVIEW   U.S. stocks had a mixed but mild week last week. The S&P 500 dropped 0.28%, the Dow declined 0.13%, and the Nasdaq increased about 0.6%. Growth stocks saw positive gains, to the tune of about 0.3%, whereas value stocks dipped around 0.16%. Small...

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Good IDEA

Good IDEA

  The U.S. Census Bureau unveiled a new data product called the Index of Economic Activity (IDEA) this month. The IDEA is a monthly composite of 15 economic data series produced by the Census Bureau. It measures economic activity in various sectors ranging from...

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Surprisingly Good

Surprisingly Good

  We’ve received some good news about the state of the economy recently. For example, the nonfarm payrolls report for January revealed that the U.S. economy added 517,000 net new jobs last month. This was way higher than the expected 185,000 jobs. And on top of...

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Need Bulls to Have a Bull Market

Need Bulls to Have a Bull Market

OVERVIEW   U.S. stocks were in the red last week, with all three major indices closing lower. The S&P 500 fell 1.11%, the Dow declined 0.17%, and the Nasdaq dropped 2.41%. Foreign stocks were down as well. Developed country stocks declined 1.59%, and emerging...

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U-Turn

U-Turn

  This week’s featured chart shows that a key indicator of the economy’s strength took a sharp U-turn last month. The ISM Composite indicator rose to 51.3% in January, up from the previous month’s reading of 48.8%. According to the indicator above, this is good...

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Another Sign Inflation Has Peaked

Another Sign Inflation Has Peaked

  An important commodity-based inflation indicator that we highlighted a few months back recently fell out of its high negative zone—a sign that inflation has likely peaked and that stock market returns could be stronger going forward. This specific indicator...

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