Trendsetter
For this week’s featured indicator, I’d like to revisit a tool we use to measure the long-term “trend” or direction of the stock market. It’s called a deviation-from-trend indicator. It gets this name because it looks at how the stock market is trending over...
Test Time
OVERVIEW U.S. stocks rose for a second straight week last week. The S&P 500 Index gained 2.67%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 2%, and the tech-focused Nasdaq Composite surged 4.82%. Foreign stocks had a strong week as well. The MSCI EAFE Index of...
Wilting Wages
We’ve gotten some good news on the inflation front lately. The latest consumer price index release confirmed that inflation cooled for a sixth straight month. Additionally, last Friday’s employment report revealed a surprising decline in the year-over-year...
Talking to the Manager
For this week’s featured indicator, we explore the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) and how it can be used to determine trends in the stock market. But first, what is the Purchasing Managers’ Index? Essentially, it’s a measure of the strength of the economy....
Competition
OVERVIEW U.S. stocks kicked off the new year on a positive note, with the S&P 500 climbing 1.4% last week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.46%, and the Nasdaq Composite increased 0.98%. Foreign markets had an even better start to the year. The MSCI...
Energy Rollercoaster
2022 was a wild year. We witnessed a surge in global inflation unlike anything we had seen in decades, and various commodities saw significant price increases. One of those commodities was natural gas. As our chart of the week above shows, natural gas prices...
The Price of Opportunity
As investors, we’re constantly looking for ways to maximize our returns while minimizing risk. This often means we’re making an allocation decision between a safe investment, like bonds, and a riskier investment, like stocks. To understand why one would choose...
Element of Surprise
OVERVIEW Overall, it was a mixed week for financial markets to close the year. In the U.S., the S&P 500 saw a decline of 0.14%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.17%, and the Nasdaq Composite registered a loss of 0.30%. The VIX Index, which...
Consumer to the Rescue
Our chart of the week above shows that the US economy faced a contraction in the first half of 2022 as GDP (green bars) declined in the first and second quarters, leading to concerns about a potential recession. However, as the gold bars reveal, consumer...
The Past and the Future
There are many ways to measure the valuation of something like the stock market. Some people like to look at past earnings; others look at future expected earnings. There is no “right” answer here. As they say, valuation is in the eye of the beholder. But we’ve...
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