by NelsonCorp Wealth Management | Aug 31, 2023 | Indicator Insights
This week’s indicator features the Credit & Liquidity Risk OAS Index (orange line, bottom clip), which is an index that packages credit spread risk into one neat little metric. It rises when credit spreads widen and falls when credit spreads narrow. But...
by NelsonCorp Wealth Management | Aug 24, 2023 | Indicator Insights
This week’s indicator focuses on interest rates—and why rapid changes in interest rates can negatively affect the stock market. When we talk about interest rates in the financial world, we often reference the 10-year Treasury rate, the rate at which the federal...
by NelsonCorp Wealth Management | Aug 17, 2023 | Indicator Insights
This week’s indicator is called the Global Recession Probability Model. It uses a statistical technique called “logistic regression” to identify when global economic growth might slow down, with the probability ranging from 0% to 100%. We talked about this...
by NelsonCorp Wealth Management | Aug 10, 2023 | Indicator Insights
Last April, we talked about the real earnings yield indicator and how a continued fall in inflation could eventually bring the indicator into positive (bullish) territory. This week I want to give an update on how things are going. But first, here’s a quick...
by NelsonCorp Wealth Management | Aug 3, 2023 | Indicator Insights
Last year on this blog, we highlighted how a surge in interest rates had led to an environment in which stocks were poorly valued based on profitability measures like Return on Equity (ROE), which measures how much a company earns for each dollar of equity...
by NelsonCorp Wealth Management | Jul 27, 2023 | Indicator Insights
Industrial production is one of those unglamorous economic statistics that not many people think about on a regular basis. But it is an important statistic nonetheless, as it measures how much physical “stuff” we are producing in vital economic sectors like...
