Keep It Simple

Keep It Simple

  Imagine a simple stock market indicator. It looks at the market each week and determines if it’s going up or down. No bells. No Whistles. Just you and the price action. Pretty easy, right? Well, as a matter of fact, it is. Our featured indicator, shown above,...
Drawdowns Are Normal

Drawdowns Are Normal

After a chaotic start to the week, the market staged a remarkable comeback and cut its losses significantly. But are we out of the woods yet? In this week’s commentary, we explore the recent market turbulence, the history of corrections, and what our risk models are telling us about the road ahead.

A Sigh of Relief

A Sigh of Relief

  It was a wild week in financial markets. A lot of crazy stuff happened. While I could point to several noteworthy charts—like the sharp decline in Japanese stocks or the fleeting reversal of the inverted yield curve—one chart stood out above the rest: weekly...