Reversals

Reversals

  This week, I want to feature an indicator we’ve recently discussed on the blog. It’s a price-based indicator that measures reversals in the stock market. Specifically, it generates buy and sell signals for the S&P 500 index based on percentage reversals...
Valuing the Market

Valuing the Market

  Whenever there’s talk about what drives the stock market, it usually comes back to two main factors: earnings and what investors are willing to pay for those earnings. A common way to quantify this relationship is to look at something called a price-to-earnings...
Curve Inversion

Curve Inversion

  For this week’s indicator, we have a metric that measures the Treasury yield curve. This specific yield curve looks at the difference between the yield on a 10-year Treasury bond versus a 3-month Treasury bond. This is depicted as the orange line on the bottom...
Credit is a Coward

Credit is a Coward

  Charles Dickens once wrote, “credit is a system whereby a person who can’t pay, gets another person who can’t pay, to guarantee that he can pay.” Now that’s a bit cynical, but it does tap into this idea that credit is based on the concept of trust. Can...
Expectations vs. Reality

Expectations vs. Reality

  Volatility comes in many different forms. But in the stock market, there are two commonly looked at measures of volatility that investors focus on. The first has to do with the VIX index or the so-called “fear gauge” of the stock market. It’s a forward-looking...