Slowing Down

Slowing Down

  As with most things, recessions are a hard thing to predict. But, the good news is we have tools at our disposal that help us better understand when global economic slowdowns are occurring. Specifically, we utilize a global recession probability model, shown in...
Relatively Speaking

Relatively Speaking

  Often, when you hear people talking about the stock market being over or undervalued, they’re usually thinking about it in absolute terms. By that, I mean that they’ll look at a company and see that it’s earning, let’s say, $5 per share and that its stock is...
In Thrust We Trust

In Thrust We Trust

  Sometimes the stock market moves forcefully in one direction, as a sudden surge of money elevates or depresses prices quickly. We can measure when this occurs via a technical tool called a thrust indicator. In general, a thrust indicator will measure market...
Record Keeping

Record Keeping

  This week I want to drill down a little deeper on a chart that we highlighted around the middle of last year.  It’s the number of record highs attained by the S&P 500 stock market index per year, going back to 1928. I bring this chart up because, as you can...