Banking Liquidity
This week’s featured indicator looks at banking liquidity and how it affects stock market performance over time. The core idea is that a rising trend in liquidity is bullish for the stock market because it reduces pressure on interest rates. Falling liquidity,...
A Mixed Bag
OVERVIEW The U.S. stock market slipped last week and ended in negative territory, resulting in the S&P 500 snapping its four-week winning streak. The Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased 0.16%, the Nasdaq Composite declined 2.62%, and the S&P 500...
Not for Sale
This week’s chart shows existing home sales in the United Sales going back to 1999. It tells us how many homes were sold each month—but only for homes that were already owned and occupied before coming onto the market. As you can see, they have crashed this...
Catching the Mega-Move
When big moves happen in the stock market, they tend to be global in nature. In other words, stock price momentum in one country can spill over into other countries, creating what we call a “mega-move” in global financial markets. To measure this dynamic, we...
Sometimes It Rhymes
OVERVIEW The U.S. stock market registered its fourth weekly gain last week. The S&P 500—an index of the 500 largest stocks in the United States—rose 3.26%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 2.92%, and the Nasdaq Composite increased 3.08%. The biggest...
Recovery
This week’s chart looks at job growth in the U.S. economy. Last month, we found out that U.S. employers added 528,000 new jobs. This was significant because it means the economy has now recovered all of the roughly 22 million jobs it lost in the early stages of...
Wait for the Extreme and Then Lean
This week’s indicator is based on a contrarian concept originated by the investment bank Merrill Lynch. It looks at the ratio of the number of stocks advancing plus one-half of those unchanged to the total number of issues traded. In other words, it’s a measure...
Congestion
OVERVIEW The major U.S. stock indices put in mixed performances last week. While the S&P 500 Index gained a moderate 0.36% and the Nasdaq Composite surged 2.15%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.13%. The gains came mostly from growth stocks, with the...
More Advancers Than Decliners
This week’s featured chart shows why the recent rally in the stock market might have some legs. The chart, shown above, is a “breadth thrust” indicator that measures the ratio of advancing stocks to declining stocks. Specifically, it takes the ratio of the...
Reversals
This week, I want to feature an indicator we’ve recently discussed on the blog. It’s a price-based indicator that measures reversals in the stock market. Specifically, it generates buy and sell signals for the S&P 500 index based on percentage reversals...
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