Blog

Not So Surprising

Not So Surprising

2023 has been a pretty surprising year in financial markets. Nate Kreinbrink explains what he is keeping an eye on as we head into the new year.

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Jolly Markets

Jolly Markets

Falling inflation has put the stock market in a jolly mood lately. In this week’s commentary, we highlight a few indicators showing why investors are in such high spirits.

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Soft Landing

Soft Landing

  When the Federal Reserve began increasing interest rates in 2022, the big worry was that it would put a lot of people out of work. Initially, the Fed predicted that the unemployment rate would need to rise from 3.7% to 4.4% in 2023, equivalent to 1.2 million...

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Inflation Leader

Inflation Leader

  Our nickname for this week’s indicator is the “inflation leader.” Why? Because it tends to lead the broader measures of inflation—like the Producer Price Index and the Consumer Price Index—and can therefore warn us when inflationary pressures are building. The...

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Excess Liquidity

Excess Liquidity

The financial markets have been looking more optimistic lately. David Nelson joins us to share what he believes may be driving the positivity and what it means for viewers’ investments.

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Fed Pivot

Fed Pivot

The Dow rose to an all-time high last week. In this week’s commentary, we discuss how the “Fed Pivot” is driving this bullish price action in financial markets.

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Calmness

Calmness

  For this week’s chart, we highlight the VIX. No… not that ointment your mom rubbed on your chest when you were sick as a kid. But rather the VIX Index, a measure of market expectations for future stock market volatility. When the VIX is high, it means traders...

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Rolling Returns

Rolling Returns

  The writer Jason Zweig once wrote that regression to the mean is the most powerful law in financial physics. By this, he meant that after a period of really good stock market returns, we can expect things to cool down, and after a rough patch, there's a good...

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